Start
with what everyone agrees is worthwhile, but will never happen, or is too
difficult to accomplish. Show how it can be done by working together
as a team. Then move on to attempt what everyone agrees to be
absolutely impossible at this time, and create an environment in which highly motivated people
can
demonstrate their abilities to achieve great progress together.
Dare to believe that the world can become a much better place, and help make
it happen by working with others to do the right thing, one step at a time.
The
status quo ante is just interesting history. Learn what is
valuable from the shared experience of others, and apply it. Move
forward boldly. Show it can be done. Many of the
ideas behind the creation of Global Direct Investment Solutions have been
evolving for twenty years, ever since joining and then leaving the US
Foreign Service. Economic hardship, sustained by the lack of more
effective economic and political leadership for development in countries
throughout the world, including our own, is clearly one of the greatest
factors in human suffering, tyranny, war, and terrorism or many other
criminal and social problems. Progress, however one defines it, has been much too slow.
We can and must find a way to do much better than this. The creation
of this business is expected to become part of that solution, demonstrating
how even a small group of dedicated professionals can transform the global
investment process by which billions of dollars are invested each year to
build the foundation for future productivity and prosperity. Decades after the recognition in
theory that "no man is an island", and the creation of great philanthropic
foundations by business leaders to address urgent social needs, plus the
creation of multilateral institutions and more government agencies to try to
address both the root causes and daily challenges of human suffering all
over the world, there has been considerable progress, but not nearly enough,
and not fast enough to avert vast and very dangerous social problems
worldwide today. As history has shown for
centuries, we ignore the suffering of others at our own peril. Today,
the great advances in travel, communications, and other technologies create
an unparalleled opportunity for collaborative efforts to transform the
suffering which has plagued mankind since earliest history, and bring
diverse and talented people all over the world together to achieve great
things for mutual benefit This is not a corporate
real estate business about filling up empty factory buildings or abandoned
brownfield sites, or creating new offices or factories at sites in the
developed or underdeveloped world. Each project is an opportunity to
transform our world, and the sooner and better each project succeeds, the
sooner our world will be a better place for everyone.
We work at the very heart of human progress, with the
companies and major investments which will transform our world, whether
through seemingly "boring" or mundane "old industries" or those which are
widely perceived as being at the "cutting edge" of technology.
To paraphrase Will Rogers, I never met a business I didn't
like. They are all interesting. They
reflect somebody's dream of a way to create a better world, and profit by
that achievement. They add
value efficiently to our world in some clever way, through many people
working together, or else they wouldn't survive. For those who doubt
this, look at any object around you, from food on the table to the most
sophisticated manufactured product or "software", and think what it took to
make it, or to deliver it to where you enjoy it today. Consider the
challenge (or impossibility) of having those same things, in the same place
or at a comparable cost, 10 or 20 or 50 years ago. We are surrounded
by brilliant accomplishments every day. We just don't always take the
time to notice and appreciate them. We take brilliant solutions to our
needs for granted. Improvements to our quality of life or changes to
where and how and by whom our needs are met may seem disruptive or even
unwelcome at the time, but in hindsight they are taken for granted and seem
to have been almost inevitable outcomes of market forces shaped by personal
choices. Some very clever
people did a lot of valuable work to achieve that visible progress together.
It's like the "Carousel of Progress" ride at Disney's EPCOT, which
they keep having to update for the changes since it was launched at the NY
World's Fair where I saw it as a child in 1964. We take a lot of
extraordinary progress over time for granted. The fun of this business
is that we get to work with the clever people who are investing in creating
the future for all of us, and meeting our diverse needs better than most of
us ever envisioned, so that we can afford to enjoy an even better future,
according to however we define "better" or the monetary or social value of
specific products or services at the time. It's better than visiting a
"World's Fair". We see the future emerging every day, and it is always
amazing to see what talented people can achieve together. We work with
the visionaries and innovators who have the skills to convert ideas into
better products and services which are delivered more efficiently.
Global direct investment is a process through which many
talented individuals and the organizations which they represent, whether in
private business or in public or professional service work, apply their
resources and capabilities to achieve progress which governments alone
clearly cannot or will not achieve for the people they serve.
To put it another way, the "invisible hand" often needs some
help finding the right hand to shake, because progress needs to be faster
and better on a global basis. Demand is out there looking for supply,
while Supply is looking for demand. They don't always enjoy efficient
markets in which to find each other and do business.
Responsible direct investment projects can transform our
world, one local success at a time, better than any government. This
is where the solutions will be found, as Adam Smith astutely perceived so
long ago. Government isn't the answer, but it isn't the problem
either. It can help or hinder, but it isn't the driver, or the
solution. Demand is the driver, and supply is the solution.
Government is involved in the process of how efficiently and effectively
they come together and interact, including attempts to manipulate the "terms
of trade" in some circumstances, unfortunately. If
you doubt this potential impact, think about who pays the taxes, and who
uses them. Who has more resources? Who is taking a percentage
from whom? The companies and individuals who do the work to provide
goods and services, and who pay the taxes to support government services,
have far greater wealth than all the government agencies of the world put
together. They all share a vested interest in the successful
development of their own communities. They also share a common
interest that their tax dollars be applied more efficiently to their
objectives. That creates potential for the legendary
"invisible hand" of capitalism to work to mutual advantage. Investment
projects are the foundation for enormous economic activity and benefit
flows. Direct investment projects are the infrastructure through which
we build our social environment and make the choices about using our
resources, technologies, and knowledge wisely for mutual benefit.
Governments, businesses, and private individuals are not adversaries with
irreconcilable conflicts of interest. They just have different roles
and
interests, and sometimes don't work together very well to resolve their
different agendas and find common ground on which to make greater progress
than is possible if they remain "a house divided against itself".
Inefficiency in direct investment flows is a global curse to
humanity. That doesn't require Keynesian intervention, protection of
"infant industries" which never grow beyond their need for protection, nor
mercantilist or nationalist solutions. It requires a much better
process to bring opportunities and resources together, all over the world,
as "local to local" solutions rather than top-down intervention to address
perceived inefficiencies, unmet social needs, or inequities of free markets.
Such intervention by government is, quite simply,
just one party in the negotiation trying to use its' power or influence to
shift the terms of any deal in its' perceived favor. If it pushes too
hard, however, everybody loses because the negotiation ends in favor of
better terms for trade and investment somewhere else. The losers in
that scenario are the people whose government blew their chance at greater
prosperity. Unfortunately, many governments still "don't get it", and
their people suffer for it. That includes
"developed" countries, too - not just the "Third World" ones. The road
to missed opportunities for economic development is paved with bureaucrats
and political leaders on both sides of major investment transactions who
simply don't necessarily suffer from the adverse consequences of their
intervention, and can benefit personally from doing the wrong thing (not
just through overt corruption). Government careers can be made doing
work which effectively destroys value. That is why free
markets are generally a far better solution than government intervention, no
matter how noble the social justification. Government intervention
isn't likely to disappear on either side soon, however, so the theoretical
arguments about the appropriate level of intervention in a perfect world are
moot. We must play the hand we have been dealt, and those who
persistently try to stack the deck in their favor will soon find that nobody
wants to play their game, which is their loss. The
difference is that global direct investment isn't a zero sum game, simply
redistributing wealth around the table of players according to the latest
round of play, nor can anybody just cash in their chips and go home the
winner forever. We are all in this together, and temporary advantages
are soon overcome by clever people who redefine the future, and those who
walk away are soon left behind. Instead of "winner
takes all", good deals add high value for both parties, and the benefits
grow beyond the initial expectations, building the "wealth of nations"
rather than just the wealth of one nation. That important "s" is
sometimes forgotten by political leaders and their bureaucrats, who may
perceive their role as pushing the interests of one nation alone. That
doesn't serve their constituents well. It is one thing to be tough
negotiators on behalf of your interests, and quite another to be so
inflexible that a valuable potential agreement is lost, to mutual
disadvantage. This subtle neo-mercantilist attitude among bureaucrats
is a serious problem, because it applies powerful government resources to
counterproductive policies and practices, and sooner or later the
consequences are suffered by people who may honestly believe that their
government officials were trying to advance their interests, and that their
suffering is therefore somebody else's fault. Call it the "foreign
devil" problem, in which no one is held accountable for the bad results of
their own government. Sometimes one should walk
away from a deal, but often the problem is to get to the table in the first place,
and recognize the potential mutual benefits which can be achieved by
negotiating those issues on which there may be serious disagreement.
If both sides are simply "taking a position" and sticking to it obstinately,
then it is a waste of time to pretend that it is an actual negotiation,
rather than two ultimatums which will lead to little of value, even if one
side eventually capitulates. Another outcome is that an acceptable
deal is finally struck, but after the investment of needless time and
effort, and perhaps with a very suboptimal but tolerable outcome. Once
again, who is ever held accountable for missed opportunities? It is
too hard to prove what might have been possible, and serves no purpose
anyway. One does the best one can, but the point is that it is still a
very wasteful process. We need to make it
faster and easier to achieve successful investment projects, in full
partnership at the local level with the people whose lives are impacted, and
with respect and sensitivity for their dignity, capabilities, values, and
dreams. There needs to be mutual recognition that investments are not
unilateral decisions, and that the purpose of negotiation is to find the
best solution for mutual benefit so that the agreement can be
enthusiastically implemented and sustained through commitment to success
from both perspectives, rather than a pyrrhic victory in which one side
claims success and the other feels defeated and resentful, and perhaps
poorly motivated to respect the deal at the first opportunity to break it. |
It is time for the world
to move beyond a negative focus on unemployment, crime, poverty, war, and
other serious social problems. Work together to create a better world
from the local perspective of everyone who shares the belief that they want
their children to enjoy a long life in a much better world than they inhabit
today. We all have potential to do great things to benefit all
mankind, but it's up to each of us to do our part well each day.
I think we
can all agree on that, even if we may disagree about specific political or
economic theories or actions, or how best to achieve our common goals within
the context of diverse social values, experiences, capabilities, and
expectations. If we are going to make our world a better place, we
have to do a much better job of bringing resources and opportunities
together. Major investment projects have a big impact.
Many small steps can take us to that destination, but mankind was
never satisfied to crawl, walk, or even run. Expectations, if left
unmet, can breed great and dangerous frustration over the social inequities
of a "trickle down" pace of change, even if one can show that great progress
is being made.
The lack of successful investment doesn't just
generate disappointing national statistics or company financial reports.
It destroys lives. It destroys whole communities. It feeds
countless social problems as people confront their inability to satisfy
dreams of a better life through socially acceptable means, and perhaps turn
destructive in desperation, frustration, or envy about the success of others
when success seems unfairly beyond their grasp.
We must find creative ways to exceed expectations about what is
possible, so that frustration is transformed into motivation and teamwork,
which can then become mutual gratitude about the benefits of developing a
better world together, with a visibly positive impact which we can identify
in our own communities. Development is not a zero sum or winner takes
all game. Capital investment is at the heart of the process by which
we all compete and are rewarded for creating a better world, day by day.
It is the process by which the resources of the private sector, which dwarf
those of governments, profitably and efficiently combine to do great things
today which we will soon take for granted in the future.
Laissez-faire, free markets solution for all?
Does that mean that laissez faire, free market capitalism
is the magic wand to ensure every society's prosperity? No.
People and their governments must make their own choices, and decide what
they think works best for their interests.
Like companies, some countries, regions, or local economic
areas will make good choices and prosper, while others will struggle or
fail, but that isn't because there is one right answer and they got it
wrong, or were treated unfairly. Just as some companies succeed
brilliantly and then fail despite still doing well those things which
contributed to their success, the same can be true of national economies.
The world changes, and success requires adaptation to
changing circumstances. The future belongs to those who learn and
adapt well to the new environment, rather than those who think their past
success entitles them to a bright future. Past success just puts one
in a good position to adapt faster and better to a changing world, but as
they say in the financial reports, past performance and forward looking
statements are not necessarily indicative of actual future performance.
There is great opportunity for complacency or mistakes, and competitors get
better too. As individuals, companies, and societies make daily
choices about how they invest their limited resources, they shape their own
futures, for better or worse. There is no simple right or wrong answer
which applies everywhere for all time. That is why the process of
making major investment choices well is so critical to the future, even
though lots of small choices add up to have a great impact, too.
It's like the old 80-20 rule in consulting, by which 80%
of the benefit may be achieved by a focus on 20% of the work, and the other
80% of the work to achieve that last 20% of the potential benefit may not be
worthwhile as a priority, even though a 20% benefit may still be of great
value. First things first. If the process for major projects can
be made more efficient, small projects will benefit, too, because the
decision processes and issues are quite similar in this niche.
For example, somebody with a very small project might
benefit form some of the knowledge and contacts which are shared openly
through this website, but it would not be a focus of this company to go out
and find such projects, or to provide all of them with as much or more
support as the major projects. We are glad that they can benefit from
this work, too, and will generally try to be helpful, but that 80-20 rule
still applies, and they require more help than can be justifiably offered
for free when the focus is to create the maximum benefit for communities
everywhere by helping leading companies to plan and implement major projects
faster and better.
A key point, however, is that governments are not good at
picking "winners" in the marketplace, and attempts to create winners often
backfire in unforeseen ways. For example, countries which tried to
protect their infant computer industries created a prosperous group of
businesspeople who could only compete in such restricted markets, while the
whole country paid the price in terms of inferior technology which other
companies and individuals were compelled to use at their disadvantage.
Like the operation that is declared a success even though
the patient is dead, these policies with good technocrat intentions to
micromanage the economy for popular national political motives and ambitions
have generally been dismal failures, even when they may appear to have been
successful to some degree. It is, for example, hard to measure the
cumulative harm which uncompetitive technology inflicted on all their other
industries, and how far this may set them behind in terms of ability to
compete in world markets, instead of an indefinitely protected home market,
with all the risks of corruption and "uneconomic profits" through state
intervention to favor one group in the market over another. Such good
intentions can be very costly, and the costs can be hidden, so that the
consequence of bad policies grow and become even more costly until they
reach the point at which the problem is self-evident..
What did each of us do today to improve our world?
Each successful project isn't just another "deal" to be
done as a source of profit to drive a stock price and shareholder value,
although that is obviously important as a key driver of investment flows.
Success, on even a small scale, transforms the lives of all those who
benefit directly or indirectly. Every deal changes our world.
Some deals may prove to be bad, but the vast majority are good, and become
even better. Like the proverbial wheat and chaff, we learn from our
experience, separate them at the right time, and move on to reap the
benefits rather than dwell on the problems.
As some of the great business leaders and philanthropists
of the last century so capably demonstrated, capitalism can be a great force
for social good despite the obvious problems created by those whose motives
and acts are not driven by higher values than the attainment of personal
wealth and power.
The challenge today isn't to redistribute wealth through
governmental or other social programs, or to try to enforce ethical values
and conduct through government, but rather to apply the prosperity and
dreams of capable people of good will more responsibly to the daily
opportunities to make the world better, one step at a time.
I see it as a challenge for diplomacy as something far
more than "war by other means" between groups with conflicts of interest.
It is an opportunity to bring people together to find their mutual interests
and achieve great goals as a team.
Global direct investment projects can transform our world
beyond our imaginations of what is possible today, because they can
efficiently apply the wealth of the entire world to the challenge, one
project at a time, through thousands of successful projects each year.
They can respond to the diverse expectations of mankind.
It isn't about "domestic" investment or "foreign"
investment. It is about successful global investment, from anywhere,
to anywhere. Local communities are transformed as businesses go about
the task of growing the organizations which successfully meet real needs
efficiently and thereby drive economic development.
Some projects will fail, and others succeed beyond the
wildest expectations, but the process is a force for great social progress
in the entire world, no matter where each specific project may go.
What matters is that the projects succeed, and apply resources very
efficiently to their own piece of the puzzle of economic growth.
That is what drives this business, and why I am
unapologetic about capitalism,
or the role of this new
corporation as a "for profit" rather than a "non-profit" enterprise.
Once the profits are there, they will be applied with social responsibility,
but the profits contribute to disciplined performance and a focus on what
achieves results. They are the economic proof of mutual agreement that
high value is being delivered.
The launch of this business was delayed for a year by the
events of 9/11/01, which disrupted many capital investment plans and
coincided with the annual meeting of the International Economic Development
Council, where I was discussing the vision at the time with fellow
professionals in this field. The last year has been put to good use,
however, to prepare for faster progress as the US economy recovers again.
I am glad to be launching the business at the IEDC Annual
Conference and the CoreNet Global Summit, and hope it contributes
successfully to the transformation of this niche market. Direct
investment can have a great impact on the lives of people around the world
by efficiently bringing together the people who can convert investment
opportunities quickly into successful projects. The role of GDI
Solutions isn't to drive that process, but rather to help create a more
efficient market.
In short, supply is personally introduced to demand, and
the world is changed for the better not by my own capabilities, but by what
they can achieve together. If it was ever true that diplomacy is
simply "war by other means", then perhaps one can also argue that global
investment and business is "diplomacy by other means".
Bruce Donnelly, 9/11/02
See also :
The Introduction section, "Explaining
the Vision", and the explanation of "The
Need for a Better Process" as the reason behind SICR, as shown
graphically in the summary of
the SICR process and the graphical "funnel" showing how GUIDE and SICR
fit together from both the
perspectives of the corporate executive and
area representatives.
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